Itabuna vs Grapiuna Itabuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
GAL
2 - 3
ITA
6%
13%
81%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
ITA
3 - 2
VIT
71%
19%
11%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ADL
1 - 5
ITA
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
ITA
1 - 0
FLU
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ANA
3 - 0
ITA
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Grapiuna Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
VIT
2 - 1
GRA
55%
22%
24%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
GRA
1 - 2
YPI
39%
23%
39%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
TDF
0 - 0
GRA
25%
22%
54%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 3
ADL
4%
9%
87%
|
36 | 70 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GRA
0 - 0
COL
33%
23%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |