Itabuna vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ITA
3 - 1
JUA
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 1
ITA
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
YPI
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JEQ
1 - 1
ITA
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
ALA
0 - 2
YPI
53%
24%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 0
ALA
31%
24%
45%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 1
JUA
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
JEQ
1 - 1
ALA
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
1 - 0
GRA
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | 0 |