Itabuna vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAH
7 - 1
ITA
84%
12%
5%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
3 - 2
CFC
50%
24%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 3
FEI
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
JUA
1 - 0
ITA
48%
23%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
1 - 1
SER
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
FEI
3 - 0
ALA
46%
25%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
3 - 0
CFC
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALA
0 - 0
BAH
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIT
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |