Itabuna vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
POC
3 - 4
ITA
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CSA
1 - 0
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 0
VIT
37%
26%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ITA
2 - 1
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 3
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 0
ALA
88%
9%
4%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
ALA
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
ALA
4 - 2
PET
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
ALA
0 - 0
ASA
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |