Itabuna vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
FEI
1 - 2
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ITA
3 - 0
POC
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
CFC
2 - 2
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 1
COL
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
VIT
6 - 0
ITA
80%
13%
8%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALA
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ALA
2 - 0
JUA
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
FLU
2 - 2
ALA
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ALA
1 - 0
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
COL
2 - 0
ALA
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |