Itabuna vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2007 |
IPI
0 - 1
ITA
39%
23%
37%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 2
JUA
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2007 |
POC
1 - 2
ITA
43%
23%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 3
FLU
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ITA
1 - 3
BAH
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 1
FLU
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 3
VIT
22%
21%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
BAH
1 - 0
ALA
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
IPI
1 - 3
ALA
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ALA
2 - 1
POC
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |