Itaborai vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itaborai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TUP
0 - 0
ITA
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 1
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
ITA
58%
21%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
AME
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
HER
1 - 0
ITA
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NOV
1 - 0
HER
69%
20%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
HER
2 - 1
TUP
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
HER
0 - 1
CRI
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
HER
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |