Mineiro 1 Trofeo Inconfidencia Semi-finals
Global 6-6
Itabirito vs Pouso Alegre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
52.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
IFC
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 2
PAT
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 90 | 47 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
IFC
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Pouso Alegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
POA
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POA
0 - 2
CRZ
12%
23%
65%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 1
POA
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
POA
1 - 0
DEM
33%
24%
44%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |