Itabirito vs Patrocinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
56%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 90 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
IFC
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
41 | 86 | 45 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Patrocinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
TOM
4 - 0
PAT
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 1
IFC
36%
24%
39%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CRZ
3 - 0
PAT
84%
13%
4%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
VIL
53%
25%
21%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 1
PAT
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -1 |