Itabaiana vs Vitória da Conquista analysis

Itabaiana Vitória da Conquista
49 ELO 49
-23.5% Tilt -18.8%
2953º General ELO ranking 6347º
84º Country ELO ranking 256º
ELO win probability
35.4%
Itabaiana
28.4%
Draw
36.2%
Vitória da Conquista

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
Itabaiana
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.2%
Win probability
Vitória da Conquista
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Itabaiana
Vitória da Conquista
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itabaiana
Itabaiana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2018
SAN
Santa Rita
2 - 4
Itabaiana
ITA
36%
28%
37%
48 42 6 0
14 Apr. 2018
SER
Sergipe
0 - 0
Itabaiana
ITA
50%
25%
25%
49 47 2 -1
07 Apr. 2018
ITA
Itabaiana
1 - 1
Sergipe
SER
43%
28%
29%
49 46 3 0
31 Mar. 2018
ITA
Itabaiana
0 - 0
Confiança
CON
23%
25%
53%
49 54 5 0
25 Mar. 2018
SER
Sergipe
0 - 1
Itabaiana
ITA
53%
24%
23%
48 47 1 +1

Matches

Vitória da Conquista
Vitória da Conquista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2018
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
0 - 0
Treze
TRE
64%
21%
15%
51 45 6 0
08 Mar. 2018
JEC
Jacobina
2 - 0
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
21%
23%
57%
52 39 13 -1
04 Mar. 2018
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
1 - 2
Fluminense de Feira
FLU
59%
23%
18%
53 48 5 -1
24 Feb. 2018
BAH
Bahia de Feira
3 - 0
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
33%
27%
40%
54 50 4 -1
15 Feb. 2018
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
2 - 1
Jacuipense
JAC
64%
21%
15%
54 46 8 0