Itabaiana vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
36.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 4
ITA
36%
28%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 1
SER
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
CON
23%
25%
53%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SER
0 - 1
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 0
TRE
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
2 - 0
VIT
21%
23%
57%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 2
FLU
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
3 - 0
VIT
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 1
JAC
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |