Itabaiana vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABC
3 - 0
ITA
74%
17%
9%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 4
ITA
25%
26%
50%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CON
0 - 0
ITA
70%
19%
11%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
CRB
10%
19%
71%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
AFP
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
ARN
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SER
4 - 1
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
88%
9%
3%
|
44 | 76 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |