Itabaiana vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 0
ITA
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
SDJ
1 - 1
ITA
60%
24%
16%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ATG
2 - 2
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
AMP
2 - 3
MAR
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 2
ITA
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
AFP
43%
22%
35%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
SER
3 - 0
MAR
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |