Itabaiana vs Maruinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CON
1 - 2
ITA
81%
14%
5%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 0
SDJ
22%
23%
56%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
ITA
84%
12%
4%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Maruinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
7 - 2
AMP
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 0
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
SER
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
ATG
1 - 2
MAR
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 0
OSE
35%
24%
42%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |