Itabaiana vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 1
ITA
12%
23%
65%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
ITA
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
MAR
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
COR
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
TRE
61%
23%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
PMA
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |