Itabaiana vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2022 |
FFC
0 - 1
ITA
21%
22%
56%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 0
ITA
79%
15%
6%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAH
42%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BOC
0 - 6
SER
23%
26%
52%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
AME
0 - 2
BOC
49%
22%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
AMP
0 - 3
BOC
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
BOC
0 - 1
SER
24%
24%
51%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 0
BOC
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |