Itabaiana vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SAO
1 - 1
ITA
20%
22%
59%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2007 |
ITA
3 - 2
AME
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2007 |
SER
2 - 2
ITA
69%
18%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
GUA
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
BOC
2 - 1
ITA
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
AMA
2 - 0
CON
16%
21%
62%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 1
SAO
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
AME
3 - 0
AMA
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
AMA
0 - 2
SER
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
AMA
1 - 1
RFC
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |