Itabaiana vs Frei Paulistano analysis

Itabaiana Frei Paulistano
49 ELO 29
-16.2% Tilt -17.6%
2949º General ELO ranking 37684º
84º Country ELO ranking 1161º
ELO win probability
72.9%
Itabaiana
17.9%
Draw
9.2%
Frei Paulistano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
Itabaiana
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.2%
Win probability
Frei Paulistano
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Itabaiana
+33%
+16%
Frei Paulistano

ELO progression

Itabaiana
Frei Paulistano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itabaiana
Itabaiana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
SER
Sergipe
2 - 1
Itabaiana
ITA
50%
25%
25%
50 52 2 0
17 Feb. 2023
ITA
Itabaiana
1 - 0
Lagarto
LAG
38%
27%
35%
49 51 2 +1
11 Feb. 2023
ITA
Itabaiana
1 - 0
Falcon FC
FFC
61%
22%
18%
49 39 10 0
05 Feb. 2023
AME
América SE
2 - 2
Itabaiana
ITA
15%
20%
65%
49 30 19 0
29 Jan. 2023
ITA
Itabaiana
2 - 0
Confiança
CON
16%
24%
60%
48 63 15 +1

Matches

Frei Paulistano
Frei Paulistano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
LAG
Lagarto
4 - 0
Frei Paulistano
AFP
75%
17%
9%
28 50 22 0
18 Feb. 2023
AFP
Frei Paulistano
0 - 1
Confiança
CON
7%
19%
74%
28 62 34 0
11 Feb. 2023
DOR
Dorense
1 - 0
Frei Paulistano
AFP
39%
24%
38%
29 31 2 -1
09 Feb. 2023
SER
Sergipe
1 - 0
Frei Paulistano
AFP
76%
16%
8%
29 51 22 0
28 Jan. 2023
AFP
Frei Paulistano
1 - 2
Atlético Gloriense
ATG
28%
22%
50%
30 33 3 -1