Itabaiana vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
FFC
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
ITA
15%
20%
65%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 0
CON
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 0
AFP
75%
17%
9%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
7%
19%
74%
|
28 | 62 | 34 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
AFP
76%
16%
8%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 2
ATG
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |