Itabaiana vs Frei Paulistano analysis

Itabaiana Frei Paulistano
51 ELO 31
-16.3% Tilt -20.4%
2954º General ELO ranking 37665º
84º Country ELO ranking 1161º
ELO win probability
67.9%
Itabaiana
20%
Draw
12.1%
Frei Paulistano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
Itabaiana
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12%
Win probability
Frei Paulistano
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Itabaiana
+11%
+16%
Frei Paulistano

ELO progression

Itabaiana
Frei Paulistano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itabaiana
Itabaiana
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2017
SER
Sergipe
1 - 2
Itabaiana
ITA
50%
25%
25%
50 48 2 0
09 Apr. 2017
ITA
Itabaiana
5 - 2
Amadense
AMA
65%
21%
13%
50 33 17 0
06 Apr. 2017
AMA
Amadense
1 - 5
Itabaiana
ITA
21%
25%
54%
49 35 14 +1
01 Apr. 2017
SAN
Santa Cruz
1 - 0
Itabaiana
ITA
84%
12%
4%
50 72 22 -1
30 Mar. 2017
ITA
Itabaiana
0 - 1
Santa Cruz
SAN
9%
18%
73%
50 72 22 0

Matches

Frei Paulistano
Frei Paulistano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2017
BOC
Boca Júnior FC
7 - 1
Frei Paulistano
AFP
46%
22%
32%
34 36 2 0
08 Apr. 2017
AFP
Frei Paulistano
0 - 0
Sergipe
SER
18%
22%
60%
33 49 16 +1
06 Apr. 2017
SER
Sergipe
2 - 1
Frei Paulistano
AFP
74%
16%
10%
33 48 15 0
26 Mar. 2017
AFP
Frei Paulistano
0 - 3
Boca Júnior FC
BOC
45%
23%
33%
35 35 0 -2
18 Mar. 2017
AFP
Frei Paulistano
1 - 2
Itabaiana
ITA
22%
25%
54%
36 49 13 -1