Itabaiana vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 1
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITA
66%
23%
11%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAO
21%
27%
52%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 0
CAM
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
2 - 2
AMA
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |