Istres vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
13º
9º
36
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
1 - 1
IST
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
IST
2 - 1
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
USM
0 - 3
IST
6%
13%
81%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
IST
2 - 1
LUC
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CBL
6 - 1
IST
37%
23%
39%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
CAN
29%
27%
45%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FUR
2 - 3
AJA
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AJA
7 - 0
RSV
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +3 |