Istiklol Dushanbe vs Parvoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
17%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 5
IST
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2015 |
IST
2 - 0
ALQ
17%
22%
62%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
IST
2 - 0
KHU
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
IST
2 - 2
XAY
61%
20%
18%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -3 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ALQ
2 - 2
IST
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Parvoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 3
KHU
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
VAK
1 - 0
PAR
36%
26%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
5 - 2
RAV
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 0
ENE
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
XAY
1 - 0
PAR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |