Istiklol Dushanbe vs Guardia Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
KHU
0 - 3
IST
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 3
IST
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2011 |
XAY
0 - 1
IST
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
IST
6 - 1
FKS
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 6
IST
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guardia Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CSK
3 - 0
GUD
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
XAY
6 - 1
GUD
60%
21%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
GUD
1 - 5
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
GUD
1 - 10
REG
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VAK
2 - 0
GUD
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |