Istiklol Dushanbe vs Shodmon Gissar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
IST
10 - 0
GUD
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2011 |
CSK
0 - 2
IST
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
IST
4 - 0
VAK
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
VAK
0 - 2
IST
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 9
IST
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shodmon Gissar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
4 - 2
FKS
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
FKS
1 - 2
KHU
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FKS
2 - 3
PAR
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
VAK
3 - 2
FKS
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
RAV
3 - 0
FKS
49%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |