Istiklol Dushanbe vs Alay Osh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FKK
0 - 2
IST
9%
15%
76%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
REG
1 - 2
IST
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +22 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
ALT
2 - 2
IST
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
VAK
1 - 3
IST
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
IST
1 - 0
AHA
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -2 |
Matches
Alay Osh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FKA
3 - 1
FTS
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
FKA
2 - 2
DBI
38%
25%
37%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +16 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
AHA
5 - 0
FKA
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 54 | 24 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
FKA
3 - 6
ALT
15%
20%
66%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
FKA
0 - 1
NEF
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |