Istiklol Dushanbe vs Fayzkand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
KHU
0 - 4
IST
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
FAK
3 - 0
IST
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 5
IST
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
KHU
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
RAV
1 - 0
IST
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Fayzkand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
KHO
2 - 2
FCF
65%
19%
17%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RAZ
1 - 4
FCF
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
FCF
0 - 2
FKE
41%
23%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
IST
1 - 3
FCF
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
FCF
0 - 1
REG
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |