Istiklol Dushanbe vs Fayzkand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
9.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
SHA
6%
15%
79%
|
31 | 74 | 43 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FKE
1 - 1
IST
23%
20%
57%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
RAY
1 - 0
IST
86%
10%
4%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
IST
0 - 3
ALH
6%
14%
81%
|
32 | 80 | 48 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
IST
3 - 0
IST
58%
20%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fayzkand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
FCF
0 - 1
VAK
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FCF
0 - 0
KHU
33%
23%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
FKE
1 - 3
FCF
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FCF
0 - 5
IST
37%
24%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FCF
2 - 1
VAK
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |