Istiklol Dushanbe vs ZSKA Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
IST
3 - 0
XAY
60%
21%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
IST
2 - 0
KHU
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
XAY
0 - 3
IST
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
FKS
1 - 2
IST
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
IST
9 - 1
GUD
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ZSKA Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
FKS
2 - 3
CSK
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CSK
1 - 4
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
CSK
0 - 1
XAY
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
REG
1 - 1
CSK
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 1
CSK
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |