Isle of Man vs Squires Gate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
14.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isle of Man
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
IOM
0 - 1
CHE
67%
17%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
IOM
1 - 0
PFC
72%
16%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
LBR
1 - 1
IOM
35%
25%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
WYA
1 - 2
IOM
43%
24%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
IOM
3 - 2
GLO
74%
15%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Squires Gate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 2
SQU
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PRH
4 - 2
SQU
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
SQU
62%
18%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SQU
3 - 2
SKE
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
BCF
1 - 0
SQU
94%
6%
1%
|
28 | 82 | 54 | +1 |