Isle of Man vs Padiham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isle of Man
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
VAU
2 - 1
IOM
58%
21%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
IOM
0 - 3
LIT
52%
21%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
RAM
2 - 1
IOM
12%
16%
72%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
IOM
2 - 0
WYT
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +3 |
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
IOM
0 - 5
SOU
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Padiham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 3
KEN
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 0
SIL
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 0
LIT
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SKE
1 - 3
PAD
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
PAD
0 - 1
IOM
33%
22%
46%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |