Isle of Man vs Avro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
65.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isle of Man
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LTO
1 - 3
IOM
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LBR
0 - 2
IOM
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
IOM
2 - 2
WES
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
IOM
3 - 5
LTO
23%
20%
56%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
IOM
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Avro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
WES
1 - 1
AFC
23%
22%
55%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 0
WIN
69%
17%
13%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
NOR
57%
21%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +3 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
PRH
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
WYT
1 - 3
AFC
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |