Solomon Islands vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
46.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
1 - 0
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
SOL
26%
22%
52%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SGP
1 - 1
SOL
48%
22%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 1
SOL
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
0 - 2
SOL
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
NCL
19%
20%
62%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCL
4 - 0
VAN
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
2 - 1
NCL
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
TAH
0 - 2
NCL
28%
23%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
7 - 1
NCL
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |