Solomon Islands vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 3
NCL
26%
23%
50%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 1
SOL
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
SOL
79%
15%
6%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 1
FIJ
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
VAN
0 - 1
SOL
51%
25%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 3
NCL
26%
23%
50%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
1 - 2
MAS
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
NCL
73%
18%
10%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
TAH
1 - 1
NCL
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
7 - 0
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |