Islas Marianas Norte U23 vs China U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
77.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
16.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
12%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.4%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
CHN
2 - 1
MAS
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
QAT
0 - 2
CHN
32%
23%
45%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
KSA
2 - 0
CHN
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
KSA
1 - 0
CHN
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CHN
2 - 1
MAS
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |