Islandia U21 vs Irlanda del Norte U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Islandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
8 - 0
SMR
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
NIR
2 - 6
ISL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
ISL
0 - 2
CZE
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
DEN
3 - 2
ISL
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 1
SVK
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Irlanda del Norte U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
NIR
2 - 6
ISL
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
CZE
2 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 1
UKR
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
SCO
1 - 3
NIR
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |