Islandia U21 vs Azerbaiyán U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Islandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AZE
1 - 0
ISL
18%
21%
61%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2011 |
ENG
5 - 0
ISL
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 3
ENG
19%
25%
56%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ISL
0 - 2
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ISL
2 - 1
BEL
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Azerbaiyán U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
AZE
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FIN
0 - 1
AZE
65%
21%
15%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
AZE
1 - 0
ISL
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
2 - 2
BEL
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
0 - 2
NOR
15%
20%
65%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |