Islandia U21 vs Alemania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Islandia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
GER
2 - 2
ISL
76%
17%
8%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 6
ISL
24%
23%
54%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
2 - 1
NIR
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
8 - 0
SMR
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
NIR
2 - 6
ISL
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Alemania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
GER
2 - 2
ISL
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 11
GER
11%
17%
72%
|
78 | 25 | 53 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 1
GER
12%
18%
71%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
GER
0 - 0
ISR
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
GER
3 - 0
SVN
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | +1 |