Isernia vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CIV
1 - 0
ISE
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ISE
0 - 0
RCA
22%
24%
54%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ISE
0 - 2
TER
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ATE
0 - 1
ISE
71%
18%
12%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SSS
2 - 1
RIC
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SSS
1 - 1
VIS
40%
27%
33%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
SSS
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
RIM
4 - 1
SSS
75%
17%
8%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SSS
1 - 2
TER
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |