Isernia vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
VIS
5 - 0
ISE
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FID
3 - 0
ISE
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
ISE
0 - 5
SSS
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 1
ISE
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ISE
2 - 3
CIV
47%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
REC
1 - 2
AMI
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SSS
2 - 0
REC
75%
17%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
REC
2 - 1
VIS
27%
26%
48%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FID
0 - 0
REC
58%
22%
20%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
REC
2 - 3
TER
18%
22%
60%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |