Isernia vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIG
2 - 0
ISE
29%
25%
47%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ISE
1 - 0
SAN
52%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SSS
0 - 0
ISE
56%
24%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ISE
2 - 0
REA
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
JES
0 - 0
ISE
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
REC
0 - 1
RIC
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ATE
1 - 1
REC
46%
26%
28%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIS
1 - 2
REC
51%
24%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
REC
3 - 0
LUC
51%
27%
23%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
REC
0 - 2
ATL
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |