Isernia vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
58.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 3
ISE
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ISE
4 - 1
JES
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
MAC
2 - 1
ISE
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ISE
2 - 1
AST
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
OLY
1 - 2
ISE
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ANC
2 - 3
AMI
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SSS
2 - 2
ANC
21%
26%
53%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ANC
1 - 1
REC
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
CIT
1 - 1
ANC
15%
23%
62%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ANC
5 - 0
FID
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |