Ischia vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
USF
4 - 2
ISC
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 0
FIA
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
ISC
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 3
LEC
12%
23%
66%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
ISC
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAG
0 - 1
BEN
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NUO
0 - 0
PAG
62%
24%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 1
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
AKR
1 - 0
PAG
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAG
2 - 0
LCR
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |