Ischia vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
ISC
2 - 1
DEL
66%
20%
14%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
ASD
1 - 4
ISC
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
ISC
5 - 0
TAR
31%
28%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
USF
3 - 2
ISC
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GAV
0 - 4
ASM
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GAV
4 - 1
PON
22%
24%
54%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +4 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
GAV
82%
13%
6%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
GAV
2 - 1
APR
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LAQ
1 - 0
GAV
56%
24%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |