Ischia vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
75.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
17.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.2%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
USP
5 - 5
ISC
18%
25%
57%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 1
ARZ
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
ISC
27%
27%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ISC
2 - 0
NUO
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TUT
1 - 0
ISC
23%
26%
51%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ACD
2 - 2
BEN
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BEN
2 - 0
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACP
3 - 3
BEN
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |