Ischia vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NUO
1 - 1
ISC
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
SAL
2 - 1
ISC
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ISC
2 - 0
TUT
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
ISC
19%
23%
59%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 0
CAS
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
3 - 3
ARZ
65%
22%
14%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
MES
2 - 2
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 0
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASM
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ASM
1 - 1
TER
21%
25%
54%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |