SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
33.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
IRU
1 - 2
CFR
77%
14%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ELP
0 - 1
IRU
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
IRU
4 - 0
TOR
77%
14%
9%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
IRU
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
CDA
1 - 3
IRU
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 4
ARI
9%
16%
75%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARI
2 - 0
ZUI
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
VUL
1 - 3
ARI
9%
16%
75%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 1
ZAR
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CDS
1 - 1
ARI
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |