SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía vs Ariznabarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Iru-Bat Santa Lucía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ZUI
1 - 5
IRU
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
IRU
1 - 0
ZAR
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
IRU
15%
19%
66%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
IRU
2 - 0
CDA
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
LAU
1 - 1
IRU
66%
19%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
2 - 1
ELG
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
ARI
64%
19%
17%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 0
CON
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CDL
1 - 2
ARI
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ARI
3 - 2
ADC
57%
21%
22%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |