Ireland U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
54.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
IRL
3 - 0
NED
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 4
IRL
78%
16%
6%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
HUN
2 - 1
IRL
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2012 |
IRL
0 - 1
TUR
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
IRL
2 - 2
ITA
12%
21%
67%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
SVN
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
POR
3 - 2
SCO
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
UKR
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
POL
0 - 0
POR
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |