Northern Ireland U21 vs Luxembourg U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
NIR
1 - 3
ISR
26%
24%
51%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
LUX
1 - 2
NIR
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 24 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
NIR
0 - 3
GER
16%
20%
64%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
MDA
0 - 1
NIR
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 1
NIR
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Luxembourg U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 2
MDA
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
LUX
1 - 2
NIR
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ISR
3 - 0
LUX
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 65 | 41 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
BEL
8 - 0
LUX
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 72 | 48 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
83%
13%
4%
|
24 | 82 | 58 | 0 |