Irlanda del Norte U21 vs España U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
70.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irlanda del Norte U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
NIR
2 - 6
GRC
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
ARM
2 - 0
NIR
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2002 |
NIR
1 - 1
UKR
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
NIR
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2002 |
NIR
0 - 1
GER
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 0
GRC
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 0
AUS
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2003 |
ESP
5 - 0
ARM
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
UKR
0 - 0
ESP
22%
24%
55%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 1
GER
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |