Irlanda del Norte U19 vs Polonia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
48.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irlanda del Norte U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MKD
1 - 2
NIR
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 1
SVK
16%
20%
65%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
NIR
0 - 2
UKR
17%
20%
64%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
NED
1 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Polonia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
POR
3 - 1
POL
80%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CRO
2 - 0
POL
63%
20%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
POL
1 - 0
TUR
15%
17%
68%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
POL
1 - 2
FIN
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
POL
1 - 0
NIR
60%
22%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |